News and Analysis to 9th September 2004

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Microosooft
Microsoft wants to eat Googles lunch, and it will if CEO
Steve Ballmer has his way. When Microsofts infrared beam warms your forehead
its generally a good time to rethink your strategy. Whether Microsoft
pacmans Google or simply runs it off the road remains to be seen. Googles
founders might want to invite Oracle, Sun and IBM around for lunch sometime
soon.
Return to sender id
Microsoft has pledged to rid the world of spam and phishers
(those that masquerade as people from genuine companies, and who rarely have
the recipients best interests at heart) and to that end is promoting its
sender id technology, which reveals the true source of the sender. As a solution
its a start, but more work is required. However the Internet Engineering Task
Force has rejected it because it is a proprietary solution, which if accepted
would give Microsoft part ownership of the Internet.
(Open) source of concern for Microsoft
Microsoft recently announced to the Securities and Exchange
Commission that it expects to be hit hard by growing competition from open
source operating system Linux. This could cause it to cut prices (heaven
forbid!). A recent study of governments globally found that 129 national and 57
local governments had open source initiatives. It is important to remember that
there is a cost to migrating to Linux and it is not low. Microsoft will most
likely put pay to open source simply by reducing its price to the point where
it wins the TCO (total cost of ownership) argument. Once Linux is starved of
oxygen, Microsoft will no doubt return to very profitable form.
Disastrous planning
A recent survey by AT&T and the Partnership for Public
Warning has highlighted the fact that only 25% of businesses polled in New York
and Washington have a disaster recovery plan. Though across the US, 60% of
companies have redundant servers or a backup site. 35% of those with a plan
outsource their plan to a specialist and this looks likely to increase in the
government and financial services sectors in particular. So surprisingly 3
years after 9/11 business continuity is still a growth market.
HPs storage business in a spin
HP seems to have taken its eye off the ball(s). First its
server sales slumped and now, according to Gartner and IDC, its storage
divisions market share is sliding despite the growing market. HP has a
dilemma. Does it split up the business into logical chunks, eg. enterprise and
consumer, or does it hold out in the hope of being the next IBM? I suspect
juggler-in-chief Carly Fiorina is determined to steer the latter course (the
pays better), despite some market analysts urging it to dismantle.
Avanade - dotbusy
Accenture-Microsoft secret love child Avanade is maturing
into a dotnet hothouse. It currently employs 3,000 staff worldwide and plans to
get this to 5,000. If you know 100 people that have dotnet skills, Avanade will
take them today.
Does IT deliver value?
First the good news, according to a survey of 300 general
business managers and IT executives within large US-based companies, 84% of
respondents indicated that their increased productivity could be attributed to
IT. However 47% of business managers and 51% of IT executives said their
companies did not know how to make their IT departments accountable for
delivering real business value. The survey conducted by Accenture is a wake up
call to CIOs. If you cant demonstrate value, your department will eventually
be replaced by an organisation that can.
Longhorn to become Shorthorn
Microsofts much talked about next generation desk top
operating system, code named Longhorn is to be stripped of it new bells and
whistles, including its much needed single-view filing system in order to make
the 2006 release deadline. Apparently these fancy features have been suspended
so that resources can be diverted to the issues of reliability and security.
Somebody must have forgotten to add them to the original Longhorn
specification. Would the growth of Linux have anything to do with this change
of direction? Vive la competition!